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Economic Indicator
Election Outcome
Financial Product
Imported Market
Other
Economic Indicator
Election Outcome
Financial Product
Imported Market
Other
Showing 39 markets
Open Only
PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California?
Xavier Becerra
52%
Tom Steyer
30%
+13 more outcomes
Imported
Kalshi
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Before January 2027
2%
Before July 2026
2%
+2 more outcomes
Imported
Polymarket
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes
9%
·
No
91%
Imported
PredictIt
Who will win the Republican nomination in the KY-04 House primary?
Ed Gallrein
99%
Thomas Massie
1%
Imported
Polymarket
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
45%
June 30
9%
+2 more outcomes
Imported
Kalshi
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Soft landing
49%
Slack / disinflation
23%
+2 more outcomes
Imported
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
14%
·
No
86%
Imported
Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by..?
December 31
70%
March 31
29%
+6 more outcomes
Imported
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
14%
·
No
86%
Imported
PredictIt
Will Donald Trump say "Epstein" at the State of the Union?
Will Donald Trump say "Epstein" at the State of the Union?
2%
Imported
Kalshi
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Before 2027
56%
Before March 2026
36%
+3 more outcomes
Imported
Polymarket
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Yes
4%
·
No
96%
Imported
Manifold
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term 2025-2029?
NOAA gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
94%
"The New Norm" ends
91%
+198 more outcomes
Imported
PredictIt
Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?
Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?
96%
Imported
Manifold
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Yes
74%
·
No
26%
Imported
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
June 30
63%
January 31
8%
Imported
Polymarket
Buy/Lease
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes
36%
·
No
64%
Imported
Manifold
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Yes
16%
·
No
84%
Imported
PredictIt
Will Susie Wiles leave office before July 2026?
Will Susie Wiles leave office before July 2026?
21%
Imported
Kalshi
Who will be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
Daniel Biss
43%
Kat Abughazaleh
29%
+2 more outcomes
Imported
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