Top Markets
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2
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7
8
Manifold
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Yes7%·No93%
Imported
Kalshi
Buy/Lease
Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Democratic51%
Republican45%
Imported
Buy/Lease
thesuper.market reaches $1 billion in cumulative trading volume
Yes98%·No2%
Other
Bitcoin will be greater than 140,000 USD on Jan 1, 2027
Yes96%·No4%
Financial
Universally accepted evidence confirms Bible's factual truth
Yes7%·No93%
Other
United States GDP Annual Growth Rate will be greater than 3% on Jul 1, 2027
Yes50%·No50%
Economic
PredictIt
Who will win the Republican nomination in the KY-04 House primary?
Ed Gallrein99%
Thomas Massie1%
Imported
Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Republican Party54%
Democratic Party42%
Imported
Trump
PredictIt
Will Donald Trump say "Epstein" at the State of the Union?
Will Donald Trump say "Epstein" at the State of the Union?2%
Imported
Kalshi
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Before 202756%
Before March 202636%
+3 more outcomesImported
Polymarket
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Yes4%·No96%
Imported
Manifold
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term 2025-2029?
NOAA gets reduced, crippled, or privatized94%
"The New Norm" ends91%
+198 more outcomesImported
Polymarket
Buy/Lease
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes36%·No64%
Imported
Manifold
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Yes16%·No84%
Imported
Donald Trump is President at year-end 2028
Yes50%·No50%
Other
Kalshi
Will Trump run for a third term?
Before Election Day17%
Before 202811%
+2 more outcomesImported
Kalshi
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett50%
Kevin Warsh39%
+21 more outcomesImported
Elections
John Cornyn to win U.S. Senate Texas
Yes84%·No16%
Election
Katie Hobbs to win Governor of Arizona
Yes75%·No25%
Election
Republican Party to win U.S. Senate Maine
Yes31%·No69%
Election
Eric Swalwell to win Governor of California
Yes51%·No49%
Election
Democratic Party to win U.S. Senate Michigan
Yes8%·No92%
Election
Financial Markets
US500 will be greater than 6,500 Index Points on Oct 1, 2026
Yes61%·No39%
Financial
US500 will be greater than 7,000 Index Points on Jan 1, 2027
Yes58%·No42%
Financial
Ether will be greater than 3,000 USD on Jan 1, 2027
Yes64%·No36%
Financial
Bitcoin will be greater than 150,000 USD on Jan 1, 2027
Yes76%·No24%
Financial
Closing Soon
US500 will be greater than 6,500 Index Points on Oct 1, 2026
Yes61%·No39%
Financial
Manifold
🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨
Yes40%·No60%
Imported
Kalshi
Who will be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
Daniel Biss43%
Kat Abughazaleh29%
+2 more outcomesImported
John Cornyn to win U.S. Senate Texas
Yes84%·No16%
Election
Katie Hobbs to win Governor of Arizona
Yes75%·No25%
Election
Republican Party to win U.S. Senate Maine
Yes31%·No69%
Election
Eric Swalwell to win Governor of California
Yes51%·No49%
Election
Democratic Party to win U.S. Senate Michigan
Yes8%·No92%
Election
Democratic Party to win U.S. Senate Alaska
Yes67%·No33%
Election
Democratic Party to win Governor of Minnesota
Yes80%·No20%
Election